Betting Against The Favourite

Betting Against The Favourite: A Strategy for Success


In this blog post, I want to address some recent comments and questions we’ve received from new members of our Facebook group.

One of the common hurdles mentioned is “betting against the favourite.” Today, I’ll explain why this can be a profitable strategy, especially when using the Two Trap Greyhound System.

Why Betting Against The Favourite Can Work

Many newcomers to sports trading feel uneasy about betting against their favorite. It’s a natural concern, as conventional wisdom often suggests backing the favourite increases your chances of winning. However, the Two Trap Greyhound System operates differently. This system doesn’t rely on which greyhounds are favourites; instead, it focuses on the probability of specific traps winning. By doing so, you will frequently find yourself betting against the favourite.

Betting Against The Favourite

The Importance of Probability Over Popularity

In traditional betting, favourites are favourites for a reason—they have a higher likelihood of winning based on past performance, form, and other factors. However, this often means the odds offered on favourites are low, resulting in smaller returns.

In contrast, the Two Trap Greyhound System leverages the statistical probabilities associated with trap positions rather than the individual performance of the greyhounds.

By focusing on trap probabilities, the system identifies value bets where the odds are in the trader’s favour, even if it means betting against the popular choice. This approach can uncover opportunities that conventional betting strategies overlook.

For instance, a greyhound starting from a particular trap might have a historically higher win rate, making it a more attractive bet regardless of whether it is the favourite or not.

Exploiting Market Inefficiencies

Betting markets, like any other market, can be inefficient. Favourites often attract a significant amount of betting money, which can skew the odds and create value opportunities elsewhere. When many bettors place their money on the favourite, the odds on other greyhounds become more favourable, offering higher returns for those willing to bet against the favourite.

The Two Trap Greyhound System capitalizes on these market inefficiencies by identifying traps with higher winning probabilities. This allows traders to consistently find value bets that offer better returns. By not being swayed by the favourite’s status, traders can exploit these inefficiencies and increase their overall profitability.

The Psychological Edge

Betting against the favorite also provides a psychological edge. Many bettors are emotionally influenced by the perceived certainty of a favorite’s win, leading to biased decision-making. By adopting a systematic approach that disregards favorites and focuses on statistical probabilities, traders can make more rational and objective decisions.

Two Trap Greyhound System Ebook

The Two Trap Greyhound System removes the emotional element from betting. It relies on data and historical performance of traps rather than the subjective appeal of individual greyhounds. This helps traders stay disciplined, avoid common betting pitfalls, and maintain a consistent strategy that enhances long-term profitability.

Proven Track Record

The success of the Two Trap Greyhound System is backed by a proven track record. Years of research and practical application have demonstrated that focusing on trap probabilities yields high returns. While betting against the favorite might seem counterintuitive, the system’s methodology has consistently delivered results.

In other words, the Two Trap Greyhound System’s focus on trap probabilities rather than individual greyhound performance ensures profitability regardless of favorites. By leveraging statistical analysis, exploiting market inefficiencies, and maintaining a disciplined approach, betting against the favorite can be a highly effective strategy in sports trading.

Balancing Trading and a Busy Schedule

Another common concern is finding time to trade while managing a day job. Many people struggle with this balance, myself included. While I don’t get to trade as often as I’d like, I make the most of the time I do have. Even spending an hour in front of the computer can be sufficient. I analyze which racetracks offer the best probabilities for a Two Trap Greyhound System win and trade for about half an hour. This brief period is often enough to achieve profitable results.

Practical Example: Efficient Trading in Limited Time

Let’s consider a practical example to illustrate how you can effectively trade within a limited time frame using the Two Trap Greyhound System. Suppose you have a busy day ahead, but you manage to carve out one hour in the evening to focus on your trades.

  1. Preparation (15 minutes):
    • Start by logging into your sports trading account and accessing your data resources.
    • Review the day’s race schedule and identify the races that are about to start within the next hour.
    • Use the Two Trap Greyhound System criteria to quickly assess which traps at specific racetracks have the highest probabilities of winning based on historical data and current conditions.
  2. Selection (10 minutes):
    • Narrow down your choices to 3-4 races that fit the system’s parameters.
    • For each selected race, determine the traps with the best statistical probabilities of winning.
    • Note down your selections and the corresponding odds offered by the bookmakers.
  3. Placing Bets (10 minutes):
    • Place your bets on the identified traps for each race.
    • Ensure you have set your stop loss limits to manage risk effectively.
  4. Monitoring (25 minutes):
    • Spend the remaining time monitoring the races you have bet on.
    • Track the progress and outcome of each race, and make any necessary adjustments if new opportunities arise or if the conditions change significantly.

Example Outcome:

Suppose you identified four races where Trap 2 and Trap 4 have historically high win rates. You place modest bets on these traps based on the odds provided. As the races unfold, you observe the following outcomes:

  • Race 1: Trap 2 wins, providing a decent return on your bet.
  • Race 2: Trap 4 comes in second, resulting in a loss for this race.
  • Race 3: Trap 2 wins again, further increasing your returns.
  • Race 4: Trap 4 does not place, but the overall profit from the other races covers this loss.

In this scenario, despite only trading for a brief period, you managed to leverage the Two Trap Greyhound System effectively. By focusing on races with the highest probabilities and maintaining discipline in your betting strategy, you achieved profitable results within a limited time frame.

This practical approach demonstrates that even with a busy schedule, you can find success in sports trading by making the most of the time you have available.

The Search for Reliable Tips

A frequent question is about finding reliable tips. It’s important to understand that no tipping service or sports trading strategy guarantees 100% success. Even the Two Trap Greyhound System has its off days, where losses occur. This is why we emphasize the importance of having a stop loss in place, both in terms of your betting bank and the number of races you participate in. This precaution prevents the risk of wiping out your entire betting bank.

Sports Trading Calculator

Despite occasional losses, the Two Trap Greyhound System has a strong track record. Consistency is key, and the system offers high returns with a remarkable strike rate. While many tipping services boast a 55-60% strike rate, our system’s research and performance indicate an 80-90% strike rate, depending on the specific results.

Betting Against The Favourite Using The Two Trap Greyhound System

In summary, betting against the favourite isn’t something to fear, especially when using a well-designed system like the Two Trap Greyhound System. It provides consistent high returns and mitigates risks through a strategic approach focused on trap probabilities.

If you have any questions or need further information, feel free to leave a message on our email. We’re also working on updating our website, so stay tuned for more resources and updates.

So till then keep on Sports trading and Happy Trading.