Let me show you how to always win football bets this 2025.
I want to be upfront that promising to “always win” would be misleading and unrealistic. However, by emphasizing sound strategies, diligent preparation, and robust risk management systems, I can provide valuable insights to help dedicated individuals navigate the football betting landscape with greater confidence and a heightened probability of positive outcomes.
As a seasoned sports trader in the football area, I never go for those risky single bets. Instead, my approach revolves around well-crafted sports trading systems that incorporate solid recovery strategies right from the get-go. This way, I have a proven system in place, complete with a carefully planned staking approach and a reliable recovery plan.
You see, employing a staking plan along with an effective recovery strategy allows you to manage your bankroll carefully and minimizing the risks of substantial losses. By religiously adhering to your system and executing trades based on time-tested strategies, you significantly increase your chances of emerging victorious over the long haul.
It’s crucial to bear in mind that sports trading isn’t a sprint; it’s a marathon that demands extreme patience and discipline. Stick to your system with conviction, stay the course, and you’ll be well on your way to realizing your goals as a sports trader extraordinaire.
One of the fundamental tenets I follow with every trading system is the ‘Stop at a Win’ approach – or in other words, resetting and starting fresh after a successful outcome. This simple yet powerful concept helps lock in profits and prevents the undoing of hard-earned gains.
While no system is perfect, the one I’m about to share employs a dual-pronged strategy that combines the principles of dutching and correct score predictions.
By spreading stakes across different potential outcomes, while also attempting to pinpoint the exact final scoreline, this approach aims to maximize value extraction from each football match.
Of course, there are never any guarantees in this game. But by adhering to proven strategies like these, diligently managing our bankrolls, and maintaining discipline, we can give ourselves the best possible shot at consistent profitability over the long run.
Let me walk you through a trading approach that’s considered the bread and butter for many professional sports gamblers and seasoned traders alike – Dutching Correct Scores. This strategy revolves around spreading your risk across multiple potential scorelines for the same event, a concept referred to as ‘dutching.’
By dutching, you’re not putting all your eggs in one basket, so to speak. Instead, you distribute your stake across different score outcomes, effectively reducing your exposure while keeping you in the game regardless of how the match unfolds.
One system that elegantly incorporates this dutching principle is The Two Trap Greyhound System. It employs a sophisticated variation of the dutching approach, carefully structuring stakes across select scorelines as part of its overarching strategy.
While no approach guarantees wins, dutching correct scores is a battle-tested technique that has proven immensely valuable for professionals in this arena. When combined with sound bankroll management and robust trade selection criteria, it can potentially tilt the odds in your favor.
That’s the beauty of this approach – you’re not married to just one result. By spreading your risk intelligently, you’ve given yourself a nice cushion and a better chance at coming out on top, no matter how the match plays out.
You can apply dutching to the Correct Score market to good effect. You cover a certain number of probable score-lines in order to make the same profit no matter which of those results come in.
How To Always Win Football Bets?
Now as you know, I don’t do ‘single’ bets. That is, I always use sports trading systems, whereby I have a recover system included as part of any betting strategy I use. That earns I have a proven system, a staking plan and a recovery plan. Every system I use always has at it’s core the principle of “STOP AT A WIN’ or in other words, go back to the beginning when you win. So, whilst not perfect, this system uses dutching and correct score as it’s strategy.
The regular approach for this strategy is to target score-line in mind such as 2-0 and then covering similar score-lines one goal away from that such as 1-0, 2-1 and 3-0.
There are no set rules on your dutching, or how many scores to cover. You can cover as many score-lines as you want, just bear in mind the more selections you cover the lower your overall profit will be.
How do you find the right scoreline to dutch? This take a little work or research on your part. I use websites that provide ELO ratings and the calculation for Poisson, that’s not poison, distribution. Go to these links and I think you’ll get the idea.
I hope you find this a useful tactic, as always paper trade and get used to how the system works and the results.
Until next time.
Happy Trading!
Peter
https://twotrapgreyhoundsystem.com/library/2020/02/How-to-always-win-football-bets-in-2024.png281500Peterhttps://twotrapgreyhoundsystem.com/library/2023/03/MBTSPORTS_LOGO-300x112.pngPeter2024-11-17 11:28:002025-01-18 08:44:09How to always win football bets this 2025?
https://twotrapgreyhoundsystem.com/library/2022/06/Profiting-On-Under-2.5-Goals-e1677137544738.png281500Peterhttps://twotrapgreyhoundsystem.com/library/2023/03/MBTSPORTS_LOGO-300x112.pngPeter2024-11-16 07:02:352024-11-16 07:02:37Update: Profiting On Under 2.5 Goals Strategy
In the dynamic and fast-paced world of sports trading, having the right tools at your disposal can make all the difference. Among the myriad of resources available online—strategies, ELO ratings, data sites, and more—the MBT Sports Trading Calculator stands out as a game-changer. If you’re serious about sports trading, especially when it comes to enhancing your strategies and optimizing your profits, this calculator is a must-have.
Whether you’re a beginner or a seasoned trader, a reliable betting calculator simplifies complex calculations, helping you focus on strategy rather than numbers. Let’s dive into why the MBT Sports Trading Calculator is an essential tool for anyone looking to transition from gambling to trading.
Why Use a Sports Trading Calculator?
Sports trading requires precision, strategy, and effective bankroll management. A sports trading calculator simplifies these processes, allowing you to:
Accurately Calculate Stakes and Payouts A trading calculator ensures that your stakes are appropriately distributed, especially when using strategies like dutching, arbitrage, or the Two Trap Greyhound System. By minimizing human error, you avoid costly mistakes that could derail your trading.
Maximize Returns on Investment By inputting your odds and desired profit margins, a betting calculator gives you precise figures on how to allocate funds, ensuring you get the maximum return from each trade.
Simplify Complex Strategies Strategies like stake recovery or multiple outcome betting become straightforward when the numbers are done for you. You only need to follow the provided outputs, saving time and mental energy.
The Problem with Bots in Sports Trading
Many traders turn to bots—automated tools designed to execute trades based on pre-set rules. While bots sound appealing, they come with significant drawbacks:
Complex Setup Setting up a bot can be daunting, especially for beginners. From defining rules to fine-tuning parameters, there’s a steep learning curve involved. Even a minor error in setup could lead to disastrous losses.
Costly Subscriptions Most bots operate on a subscription model, often requiring monthly or annual payments that can quickly add up. If the bot doesn’t align perfectly with your strategy, you could end up wasting money.
Lack of Flexibility Bots are only as good as the rules you provide. If your sports trading strategy requires adaptability or human intuition, a bot could limit your success rather than enhance it.
For these reasons, many traders, including experienced ones, avoid bots and instead rely on more straightforward, hands-on tools like the MBT Sports Trading Calculator.
What Makes the MBT Sports Trading Calculator Unique?
The MBT Sports Trading Calculator was developed to address common pain points in sports trading. It’s user-friendly, versatile, and tailored to support various trading strategies, including the popular Two Trap Greyhound System. Here’s what sets it apart:
1. Seamless Integration with Your Strategy
The calculator is designed to complement your existing sports trading strategies, ensuring that the calculations align perfectly with your goals. Whether you’re using a dutching system, recovering stakes, or managing a complex multi-bet scenario, the MBT Sports Trading Calculator has you covered.
2. Ease of Use
Unlike bots, the calculator is incredibly straightforward. You don’t need to be tech-savvy to use it. Input your odds, desired profits, and other variables, and the calculator does the heavy lifting. It even highlights when you’ve hit your target, reminding you to stop trading and lock in your profits.
3. Cost-Effective Solution
While the MBT Sports Trading Calculator is a paid tool, it’s bundled with your membership to MBT Sports. At a cost that’s less than a daily coffee, it offers exceptional value. Not only do you gain access to the calculator, but you also receive comprehensive resources, strategies, and expert advice within the MBT Sports members area.
4. Error-Free Calculations
One of the greatest risks in manual trading is human error. A small mistake in calculating stakes can lead to significant losses. The MBT Sports Trading Calculator eliminates this risk, ensuring your trades are executed with precision every time.
5. Time-Saving Features
Gone are the days of manually crunching numbers or second-guessing your calculations. The calculator streamlines the entire process, freeing up your time to focus on analyzing odds, refining strategies, or simply enjoying your trading journey.
Why Paid Tools Like the MBT Sports Trading Calculator Are Worth It
In sports trading, free tools often come with limitations, outdated interfaces, or inaccurate outputs. While there’s no shortage of free calculators online, they pale in comparison to the comprehensive functionality and reliability of the MBT Sports Trading Calculator.
As the saying goes, you get what you pay for. Investing in a professional-grade tool ensures you’re equipped with the best resources to succeed in a highly competitive arena. Plus, with the additional insights and strategies included in your MBT Sports membership, you’re not just paying for a calculator—you’re paying for an entire suite of tools to boost your trading performance.
Conclusion: Stop Gambling, Start Trading
The MBT Sports Trading Calculator is more than just a betting calculator; it’s a tool that empowers you to trade smarter, minimize risks, and maximize profits. Whether you’re exploring the Two Trap Greyhound System or other advanced strategies, this calculator simplifies the process, allowing you to focus on making informed decisions.
Remember: sports trading isn’t about luck—it’s about strategy, precision, and the right tools. With the MBT Sports Trading Calculator, you have everything you need to stop gambling and start trading.
Invest in your trading future today and discover the difference a professional sports trading calculator can make. Good luck on your journey to success!
https://twotrapgreyhoundsystem.com/library/2019/02/Sports-betting-calculator.png281500Peterhttps://twotrapgreyhoundsystem.com/library/2023/03/MBTSPORTS_LOGO-300x112.pngPeter2024-11-16 06:47:372024-11-16 06:47:39Master Your Bets with the MBT Sports Trading Calculator
This is a question I hear more often than I can count.
Whenever I meet new people and mention that one of my businesses is in sports trading, the conversation almost always takes a familiar turn. They inevitably ask two questions:
“That’s just betting, right?”
“Got any tips for dog racing?”
That second question usually comes after I’ve given a brief explanation of the Two Trap Greyhound System. Despite my explanation, people often remain puzzled.
Table of Contents
The Misunderstanding
“So, what’s the name of the dog in Trap 3?” they’ll ask.
“I don’t know,” I reply. “In fact, I don’t care—it’s irrelevant.”
“What?” is often the confused response. “That makes no sense,” they say.
I usually respond with, “Buy the book and watch the training, it’s all there.”
“Why should I buy the book—can’t you just tell me?” they ask.
At this point, I realize they’re unlikely to use the information anyway, but I’m not about to hand out free copies. Here’s why.
The Value of Knowledge
My stock response to freebie seekers is: “So when you go to work, do you give your boss free working days without expecting to get paid? Do you say, ‘Here you are, boss—today I’ll work for FREE?'”
Their reply is usually along the lines of, “No, that would be stupid. I’ve done the work, so I should get paid for it.”
This analogy often hits home because everyone understands the value of their own time and effort. It’s no different in the realm of sports trading and dog racing tips. Let’s explore this concept with some scenarios:
Scenario 1: The Dedicated Sports Analyst
Imagine Mike, a dedicated sports analyst who spends hours each day studying team statistics, player performances, and game strategies. His deep analysis allows him to make informed predictions about upcoming games. A fellow bettor at the bar asks Mike for his weekend football picks for free. Mike declines, explaining that his expertise is his livelihood. The bettor understands, realizing that Mike’s time and knowledge are valuable assets that should be compensated.
Scenario 2: The Experienced Horse Racing Enthusiast
Consider Laura, an experienced horse racing enthusiast. She meticulously studies the form, conditions, jockey statistics, and other variables before placing her bets. A casual acquaintance at the track asks her to share her insights on the next race for free. Laura explains that her insights are the result of years of study and experience.
The acquaintance gets it—Laura’s expertise isn’t just about her time at the track but also about the years of learning and investment in her betting strategy.
Scenario 3: The Strategic Sports Trader
Think about Chris, a strategic sports trader who uses sophisticated models to predict market movements and identify value bets. He’s spent years developing his system, refining his models, and understanding the betting markets.
A friend at a poker night asks him to reveal his trading secrets for free, promising to share any winnings. Chris declines, explaining that his trading system represents years of investment in time, research, and development. The friend realizes that while sharing winnings is nice, it doesn’t compensate for the depth of Chris’s expertise.
The “Aha” Moment
When I draw these parallels, the smarter ones have an “aha” moment. They see that just as they value their own professional expertise, so too should they respect the effort and expertise that goes into developing a reliable dog racing system.
Tips for Dog Racing Enthusiasts: Work Behind the System
Creating the Two Trap Greyhound System wasn’t a simple task. It involved:
Research: Analyzing countless races, studying patterns, and understanding the nuances of greyhound behavior.
Testing: Running simulations, placing numerous trial bets, and fine-tuning strategies to ensure reliability.
Writing: Documenting the findings in a clear, concise, and accessible manner.
Promoting: Reaching out to potential users, marketing the system, and ensuring it stands out in a crowded marketplace.
Building a Member Site: Developing an online platform for users to access resources, share insights, and support each other.
Continual Review: Regularly updating the system based on new data, feedback from users, and changes in the racing environment.
All this work ensures that the Two Trap Greyhound System is not just another betting tip but a well-researched, continuously refined strategy that offers real value to its users.
Finally, the Penny Drops!
Finally, the penny drops! People begin to understand that just like any other professional, the creator of a robust betting system deserves to be compensated for their time, effort, and expertise. They see the value in investing in quality knowledge and realize that this investment can lead to greater returns in their betting endeavors.
Life is beautiful when you respect the value of knowledge and are willing to invest in it.
The Ultimate Tip for Dog Racing
So, do I have any tips for dog racing? Absolutely, and it’s always the same one. Invest $7 in the Two Trap Greyhound System ebook and join one of the membership levels. Learn, understand, apply, and profit.
This system is designed to give you a strategic edge, taking the guesswork out of which dog to bet on. By following the Two Trap Greyhound System, you’ll be able to make informed decisions based on solid research and proven strategies. Let’s explore how this can play out with some real-world scenarios:
Scenario 1: The Beginner Bettor
Imagine you’re new to dog racing and want to start betting. You’ve tried placing bets based on gut feelings or the names of the dogs, but your success rate has been less than stellar. You decide to invest in the Two Trap Greyhound System.
By studying the ebook and following the membership guidelines, you learn to analyze races, understand trap biases, and identify value bets. Your bets become more informed, and over time, you start seeing a steady improvement in your success rate. What was once guesswork is now a strategic approach that brings consistent profits.
Scenario 2: The Casual Punter
You’re a casual punter who bets on dog racing occasionally, mostly for fun. Your results have been hit or miss, and you’d like to improve without spending hours researching each race. You invest in the Two Trap Greyhound System and join a membership level that suits your needs.
With access to detailed insights and proven strategies, you can quickly determine which dogs to back. You start noticing that even with minimal time investment, your bets are more successful. The system provides the edge you need to turn casual betting into a more profitable hobby.
Scenario 3: The Seasoned Gambler
You’ve been betting on dog races for years and have developed your own strategies. However, you’re always looking for ways to refine your approach and increase your winnings.
You come across the Two Trap Greyhound System and decide to give it a try. By integrating its strategies with your own, you discover new angles and insights you hadn’t considered before. The system’s research-backed methods complement your experience, leading to even higher returns on your bets. The combination of your knowledge and the system’s strategies propels you to new heights in your betting endeavours.
The Strategic Edge
The Two Trap Greyhound System isn’t just about picking a dog and hoping for the best. It’s a comprehensive approach that involves:
Race Analysis: Understanding the specifics of each race, including the track, conditions, and competition.
Trap Bias Identification: Recognizing patterns in which traps (starting positions) tend to perform better under certain conditions.
Value Betting: Identifying bets that offer good value, meaning the potential payout justifies the risk based on the system’s analysis.
Ongoing Education: Continuously learning and adapting as new data and trends emerge in the world of dog racing.
The Path to Profit
By following the Two Trap Greyhound System, you’ll be able to:
Learn: Gain in-depth knowledge about dog racing dynamics and betting strategies.
Understand: Develop a deep understanding of how to analyze races and identify profitable betting opportunities.
Apply: Put your knowledge into practice by making informed bets based on the system’s guidelines.
Profit: See a tangible improvement in your betting outcomes, leading to consistent profits over time.
Investing in the Two Trap Greyhound System is about more than just buying a book; it’s about equipping yourself with the tools and knowledge to succeed in dog racing betting. Whether you’re a beginner, a casual punter, or a seasoned gambler, the system can provide the strategic edge you need to make informed decisions and achieve better results.
Conclusion
If you’re serious about sports betting and trading, especially in dog racing, it’s essential to invest in the right resources. The Two Trap Greyhound System is a tool that can help you understand the intricacies of dog racing and improve your chances of success.
Remember, knowledge is power. Don’t expect free handouts; instead, invest in your education and reap the rewards. Happy racing!
https://twotrapgreyhoundsystem.com/library/2019/03/Tips-for-Dog-Racing-Enthusiasts.png281500Peterhttps://twotrapgreyhoundsystem.com/library/2023/03/MBTSPORTS_LOGO-300x112.pngPeter2024-07-25 14:40:222024-07-25 14:40:25Tips for Dog Racing Enthusiasts: Insights for Sports Betting Strategies
As you know The Two Trap Greyhound System doesn’t use any performance greyhound statistics within the system.
No, the Two Trap Greyhound System works on the science of the law of probability and an effective recovery staking plan, in reality though the recovery plan is rarely needed.
That’s why I am always reluctant to offer tips on specific greyhounds and their likelihood of winning. That said though, there are many sites on the internet where tips are freely offered. The problem for me is that I don’t think there’s a clear benefit in determining which greyhound is going to win for EVERY race card at a meeting.
Dog racing can be thrilling, but it’s not just about luck. Understanding systems and strategies can significantly improve your chances of success.
In this post, I’ll share some essential tips for dog racing, focusing on the Two Trap Greyhound System, a method that relies on probability rather than performance statistics. Let’s dive into how you can enhance your dog racing experience and optimize your approach.
Table of Contents
Understanding the Two Trap Greyhound System
Unlike many betting systems, the Two Trap Greyhound System doesn’t depend on greyhound performance stats. Instead, it utilizes the law of probability and an effective recovery staking plan. In practice, the recovery plan is rarely needed, making it a straightforward and efficient method for traders.
One of the standout benefits of this system is the reduced research time. You don’t need to analyze every race card at a meeting. Instead, a weekly review of race results is sufficient to ensure the system is working as expected.
Key Tips for Dog Racing
While the Two Trap Greyhound System simplifies the process, there are still some critical factors to consider to fine-tune your selections:
1. Check the Weather Conditions
Weather plays a significant role in greyhound racing, and understanding its impact can give you a competitive edge. Different weather conditions can alter the track’s characteristics, affecting how the dogs perform.
Wet Conditions: When it rains, the track can become slick and muddy, especially on the inside lanes. This generally benefits wide runners who can avoid the worst of the slush and maintain their speed better. Inside runners may struggle with heavier going, slowing them down and making it harder to navigate turns efficiently.
Dry Conditions: Conversely, in dry conditions, the track is usually faster and more consistent across all lanes. This means the advantage of wide runners is diminished, and inside runners may perform better than they would on a wet track.
Temperature Extremes: Extremely hot or cold weather can also impact greyhound performance. In hot weather, dogs may tire more quickly, while in cold weather, they might not warm up properly, affecting their speed and agility.
Keeping an eye on the weather forecast before a race can help you predict which dogs will have an advantage based on their track positions. For instance, if you know it’s going to rain, you might favor wide runners in your selections. Conversely, in dry conditions, you might give more consideration to the inside runners.
By incorporating weather conditions into your analysis, you can make more informed decisions and improve your chances of selecting winning greyhounds. Remember, successful trading is about stacking the odds in your favor, and the weather is a crucial piece of that puzzle.
2. Focus on Younger Greyhounds
Age and experience can significantly influence a greyhound’s performance on the track. While older greyhounds bring experience, younger greyhounds, especially those with less than 20 runs, often present unique opportunities for traders.
Improvement Potential: Younger greyhounds are typically still in the process of developing their racing skills and stamina. This means they are more likely to show significant improvement from one race to the next. Their performance can become more consistent as they gain experience, making them a potentially valuable asset in your trading strategy.
Adaptability: Younger dogs are often more adaptable and can quickly adjust to different track conditions and racing strategies. This adaptability can be a crucial factor in their success, especially when racing under varying weather conditions or against different competitors.
Less Predictable but High Reward: While younger greyhounds might be less predictable compared to their older counterparts, this unpredictability can work to your advantage. Since they are improving and adapting, they might be underestimated by the market, offering better odds and higher potential returns.
Competitive Edge: Older greyhounds, although experienced, might have reached their performance peak. They are more likely to “sit back” or conserve energy during a race, especially towards the end. Younger greyhounds, on the other hand, are often more aggressive and eager to prove themselves, which can give them a competitive edge in close races.
Monitoring Training and Progress: Pay attention to the training regimens and progress reports of younger greyhounds. Trainers often have insights into which younger dogs are showing promise and improvement. This information can be valuable when selecting which dogs to back.
By focusing on younger greyhounds, you can capitalize on their growth potential and adaptability. Look for signs of improvement in recent races, and consider the conditions under which they performed well. This strategic approach can enhance your trading decisions and increase your chances of success on the track.
3. Consider the Trainer’s Track Record
Some trainers consistently perform better at certain tracks. Identifying these trainers and their successful dogs can give you an edge. Dogs trained by individuals with a proven track record at a specific track are often more likely to win.
Avoiding the Gamble
One of the most crucial tips for dog racing is to resist the urge to gamble. Stick to the Two Trap Greyhound System for your trading. This disciplined approach can help you avoid the pitfalls of gambling and focus on consistent, strategic trading.
Conclusion: From Gambling to Trading
Transitioning from gambling to sports trading can be highly rewarding. By implementing the Two Trap Greyhound System and considering factors like weather, greyhound age, and trainer performance, you can enhance your dog racing strategy. Remember, the key is to trade smartly and avoid the gamble. Good luck, and happy trading!
Final Thought
Always keep in mind the mantra: “Stop Gambling and Start Trading!” With these tips and the Two Trap Greyhound System, you’re well on your way to mastering dog racing.
https://twotrapgreyhoundsystem.com/library/2019/03/Tips-for-Dog-Racing-How-to-Master-the-Track.png281500Peterhttps://twotrapgreyhoundsystem.com/library/2023/03/MBTSPORTS_LOGO-300x112.pngPeter2024-07-23 03:24:232024-07-23 03:24:26Tips for Dog Racing: How to Master the Track
In this blog post, I want to address some recent comments and questions we’ve received from new members of our Facebook group.
One of the common hurdles mentioned is “betting against the favourite.” Today, I’ll explain why this can be a profitable strategy, especially when using the Two Trap Greyhound System.
Table of Contents
Why Betting Against The Favourite Can Work
Many newcomers to sports trading feel uneasy about betting against their favorite. It’s a natural concern, as conventional wisdom often suggests backing the favourite increases your chances of winning. However, the Two Trap Greyhound System operates differently. This system doesn’t rely on which greyhounds are favourites; instead, it focuses on the probability of specific traps winning. By doing so, you will frequently find yourself betting against the favourite.
The Importance of Probability Over Popularity
In traditional betting, favourites are favourites for a reason—they have a higher likelihood of winning based on past performance, form, and other factors. However, this often means the odds offered on favourites are low, resulting in smaller returns.
In contrast, the Two Trap Greyhound System leverages the statistical probabilities associated with trap positions rather than the individual performance of the greyhounds.
By focusing on trap probabilities, the system identifies value bets where the odds are in the trader’s favour, even if it means betting against the popular choice. This approach can uncover opportunities that conventional betting strategies overlook.
For instance, a greyhound starting from a particular trap might have a historically higher win rate, making it a more attractive bet regardless of whether it is the favourite or not.
Exploiting Market Inefficiencies
Betting markets, like any other market, can be inefficient. Favourites often attract a significant amount of betting money, which can skew the odds and create value opportunities elsewhere. When many bettors place their money on the favourite, the odds on other greyhounds become more favourable, offering higher returns for those willing to bet against the favourite.
The Two Trap Greyhound System capitalizes on these market inefficiencies by identifying traps with higher winning probabilities. This allows traders to consistently find value bets that offer better returns. By not being swayed by the favourite’s status, traders can exploit these inefficiencies and increase their overall profitability.
The Psychological Edge
Betting against the favorite also provides a psychological edge. Many bettors are emotionally influenced by the perceived certainty of a favorite’s win, leading to biased decision-making. By adopting a systematic approach that disregards favorites and focuses on statistical probabilities, traders can make more rational and objective decisions.
The Two Trap Greyhound System removes the emotional element from betting. It relies on data and historical performance of traps rather than the subjective appeal of individual greyhounds. This helps traders stay disciplined, avoid common betting pitfalls, and maintain a consistent strategy that enhances long-term profitability.
Proven Track Record
The success of the Two Trap Greyhound System is backed by a proven track record. Years of research and practical application have demonstrated that focusing on trap probabilities yields high returns. While betting against the favorite might seem counterintuitive, the system’s methodology has consistently delivered results.
In other words, the Two Trap Greyhound System’s focus on trap probabilities rather than individual greyhound performance ensures profitability regardless of favorites. By leveraging statistical analysis, exploiting market inefficiencies, and maintaining a disciplined approach, betting against the favorite can be a highly effective strategy in sports trading.
Balancing Trading and a Busy Schedule
Another common concern is finding time to trade while managing a day job. Many people struggle with this balance, myself included. While I don’t get to trade as often as I’d like, I make the most of the time I do have. Even spending an hour in front of the computer can be sufficient. I analyze which racetracks offer the best probabilities for a Two Trap Greyhound System win and trade for about half an hour. This brief period is often enough to achieve profitable results.
Practical Example: Efficient Trading in Limited Time
Let’s consider a practical example to illustrate how you can effectively trade within a limited time frame using the Two Trap Greyhound System. Suppose you have a busy day ahead, but you manage to carve out one hour in the evening to focus on your trades.
Preparation (15 minutes):
Start by logging into your sports trading account and accessing your data resources.
Review the day’s race schedule and identify the races that are about to start within the next hour.
Use the Two Trap Greyhound System criteria to quickly assess which traps at specific racetracks have the highest probabilities of winning based on historical data and current conditions.
Selection (10 minutes):
Narrow down your choices to 3-4 races that fit the system’s parameters.
For each selected race, determine the traps with the best statistical probabilities of winning.
Note down your selections and the corresponding odds offered by the bookmakers.
Placing Bets (10 minutes):
Place your bets on the identified traps for each race.
Ensure you have set your stop loss limits to manage risk effectively.
Monitoring (25 minutes):
Spend the remaining time monitoring the races you have bet on.
Track the progress and outcome of each race, and make any necessary adjustments if new opportunities arise or if the conditions change significantly.
Example Outcome:
Suppose you identified four races where Trap 2 and Trap 4 have historically high win rates. You place modest bets on these traps based on the odds provided. As the races unfold, you observe the following outcomes:
Race 1: Trap 2 wins, providing a decent return on your bet.
Race 2: Trap 4 comes in second, resulting in a loss for this race.
Race 3: Trap 2 wins again, further increasing your returns.
Race 4: Trap 4 does not place, but the overall profit from the other races covers this loss.
In this scenario, despite only trading for a brief period, you managed to leverage the Two Trap Greyhound System effectively. By focusing on races with the highest probabilities and maintaining discipline in your betting strategy, you achieved profitable results within a limited time frame.
This practical approach demonstrates that even with a busy schedule, you can find success in sports trading by making the most of the time you have available.
The Search for Reliable Tips
A frequent question is about finding reliable tips. It’s important to understand that no tipping service or sports trading strategy guarantees 100% success. Even the Two Trap Greyhound System has its off days, where losses occur. This is why we emphasize the importance of having a stop loss in place, both in terms of your betting bank and the number of races you participate in. This precaution prevents the risk of wiping out your entire betting bank.
Despite occasional losses, the Two Trap Greyhound System has a strong track record. Consistency is key, and the system offers high returns with a remarkable strike rate. While many tipping services boast a 55-60% strike rate, our system’s research and performance indicate an 80-90% strike rate, depending on the specific results.
Betting Against The Favourite Using The Two Trap Greyhound System
In summary, betting against the favourite isn’t something to fear, especially when using a well-designed system like the Two Trap Greyhound System. It provides consistent high returns and mitigates risks through a strategic approach focused on trap probabilities.
If you have any questions or need further information, feel free to leave a message on our email. We’re also working on updating our website, so stay tuned for more resources and updates.
So till then keep on Sports trading and Happy Trading.
https://twotrapgreyhoundsystem.com/library/2019/04/Betting-Against-The-Favourite-1.png281500Peterhttps://twotrapgreyhoundsystem.com/library/2023/03/MBTSPORTS_LOGO-300x112.pngPeter2024-07-23 02:15:022024-07-23 02:17:36Betting Against The Favourite: A Strategy for Success
In this article we are going to share with you several top tips, you can use today to effectively exit your lay the draw trading positions.
While the method of lay the draw may guarantee profits, people still face a significant challenge. How do you know how and when to exit, that’s trade out, of a position? Is it when either team scores a goal, or do you let the game run up to the very end, or are there other options?
Deciding when to trade out, or exit a lay position, depends just as much on your attitude towards risk, as it does on how much profit you want to make.
As with all forms of trading, whether that’s sports trading, forex or day trading the stock market. There is no single exit strategy that works for everyone.
Before we get into that, let’s go over what the lay the draw system actually is.
Lay The Draw Exit Strategies
In simple terms, the lay the draw exit strategy, you find a match with two evenly matched teams that have a recent form of conceding goals, you lay the draw early on in the match and then trade out once a goal is scored.
MBT Sports Pro Tip: Do not use this system with cup matches, since form and teams are more difficult to analyse and predict form.
Here’s a checklist of things to consider when preparing to trade a lay the draw selection.
First of all, make sure the match will be in play for trading during the match. You need to be able to trade out your lay bet during the match.
Make sure there’s good liquidity in the match market, you’ll need this in order to be able to trade out.
Next check the recent form of the two teams. Remember, when doing your analysis of the teams, that you make sure you are comparing league form in the competition in which the current match is being played.
MBT Sports Pro Tip: This is based on probability, not on form. If either team or both have played 2 consecutive drawn matches, the probability of a third is low. This improves your odds of a winning lay bet.
Next is to use a regular online bookmaker, not a betting exchange, and look at three sets of market prices for the match. The match result market of home win, draw, and away win. The Over 2.5 market. And the correct score market odds for 0-0.
For the match market, find the matches where none of the three outcomes back odds do not exceed 3/1 or 4.0 in decimal.
Now look at the over 2.5 goals market. You want to see that the odds for Under 2.5 are lower than the Over 2.5 goals market. This means the bookies expect that there will be goals.
Here’s an example in the Liverpool v Chelsea match:
The odds for 1X2 are 2.40, 3.25 and 3.0 and for under 2.5 goals is 1.8 and over 2.5 goals is 1.95. The bookies don’t expect many goals but since the over 2.5 goals is below evens it suggests that they expect a goal or two.
Next look at the correct score market, specifically the 0-0 scoreline odds, this is easy. Any 0-0 correct score odds at greater than 11.0 indicate bookmakers expect a goal.
Now compare the recent goals conceded form of each team. Make sure to check their last few matches, say up to 5 games. Do this for all matches as well as the most recent home matches for the home team and away matches for the visitors. Make a note of the teams they have played against and the position each team currently has in the league.
Now with all of this analysis completed, you should be comfortable enough to decide whether or not to lay the draw. You have a few options here.
Option 1.
You can let the first half play out, and at half time, if the teams are at 0-0 you could lay the draw and wait for the goal. Why wait until half time? By doing so, if it’s still 0-0 the odds for a draw will have shortened,, and since you are laying your bet your liability is lower.
MBT Sports Pro Tip: When laying 2nd half matches, check the teams 2nd half performances. You want to find teams who either score or concede goals in the second half, usually after 60 minutes.
Take a look for example:
At 3.5 Lay the draw the liability is £125
After half time at 0-0, around the 60th to 70th minute, the draw odds will drop as low as 2.0 and at this price your liability will be £50
That doesn’t matter much if you are going to trade out. But if you were to let it ride through the remainder of the match, if the match ends in a draw you lose your £50 (not £125). If it ends in a win for either side, you will profit by £50 less the exchange commission.
This strategy takes a bit more analysis to be done, you need to look at the stats for the first half to decide if there’s likely to be a goal in the second half. You can also check the 2nd half form of the two sides in their recent matches, both goals scored and conceded. All of this will help with your decision to lay the bet or move on to another match.
As you can see this approach works best at half time. And only if the score is 0-0. If you are confident that your analysis was right and a goal is expected, you could just let the match play out and take your full profit, rather than trade out and lose some of that profit.
That is really your choice, based on your own experience and your appetite for risk. If you choose this strategy we recommend you stick only to 0-0 half time draws. A score draw is too high risk, remember you picked two sides that concede a lot, they may also not score too many either. If they are usually goal shy, you could well lose a score draw half time lay the draw trade.
Option 2
You place your trade either before kick off or after 10 minutes, by which time you’ve seen some movement in the match market. If a goal is scored in the first ten minutes leave the match alone and go to another on your list. Some days you’ll have several potential matches on which to trade and make decent profits.
Option 3
This requires you WATCH the match as you’ll be trading in play and most likely at a crucial point in the game.
Look for signals in the game; a team may be having a lot of attacking possession, or there’s an attacking substitution or maybe one team has a corner or attacking free kick. You have to have your trade ready to place before the betting exchange suspends the action. Usually when a team is in a good position to likely score, betting exchanges will suspend all markets until that event in the match is over.
If you’re just starting in trading we don’t recommend you start with this, you need to be in control of your nerves and be confident in your trading in play abilities.
Lay The Draw Exit Strategies
With any of the lay options above you have a few options; stay in to the end of the match in the expectation one side will go on to win the match. Or look to trade out the match either when a goal is scored or when you feel deadlock is going to be the result. In which case you want to minimise any loss.
The best time to trade out to lock in a profit is as soon as a goal is scored and the markets open up again in play. Here’s what happened to the odds in the Liverpool Chelsea game once Chelsea took the lead:
The odds moved out, this gives you a profit opportunity by trading out through backing the draw.
Since you placed a lay bet at 3.5 with liability of £50
If your back bet wins you’ll make a profit of £25. Simply put you receive £150 for the back win and pay out £125 for your lost lay bet of £50. Making a net profit of £25 less some commission.
The underdog scores first
The scorer of the goal just might be the underdog. So where does that leave you? Do you expect the favourite to come back and score at least two goals? If you’ve been following the match you’ll have a sense of the play and a feel for the likelihood of that happening. What you do will also depend on the goal time. How much time is left for the favourite to score more than one goal? You decide what to do.
The favourite scores first
The other scenario is the favourite scores. In which case the reverse is true, you’ve been following the match and the stats. Do you expect the favourite to go on and score more goals? Again, what you decide to do will depend on the goal time.
How much time is left for the favourite to score more goals, has the underdog looked likely to snatch a goal? The decision to trade out or ride the match for more profit is up to you.
Waiting for the a 2nd goal lead
Not for the faint hearted and definitely for the more experienced trader. Simply put, if you feel the winning team will go on to score a second goal, stay in the market and trade out after the 2nd goal. You will lock in more profit in doing so.
MBT Sports Pro Tip – you can partially trade out of a lay bet by simply backing the draw at a stake amount enough to keep you in with winning more lay money and covering liability.
Deadlock, goal shy matches; heading for 0-0
But, what if no goal is scored as the game goes on? Then you have two options. Trust your analysis expecting one side to sneak a win and run the risk of losing the lay bet and paying out the liability, in the Liverpool v Chelsea example that’s £125.
Or you can trade out by backing the draw. And again you have two options here; either at 70 mins of the match played regardless of the odds. Or when the back odds for the draw are at 2.0. Either will limit your liability but not cover it.
Double Chance your way out of the draw
This exit strategy will remove all risk from the draw as soon as a goal is scored. You place a back bet on the draw sufficient to cover the lay bet to close to zero. Which effectively gives you a double chance back bet if either side wins. If the match ends in a draw you will not make a loss, but you won’t make money either.
These are just some of the exit strategies you can use when using the lay the draw strategy for in play football matches.
If you’re new to sports trading we recommend you start with the smallest stakes you can, and just consider your first trading as experience, any funds lost are just paid for lessons on how you will improve on the way.
Take your time learning how to do this or any other new system. It’s better to lose small amounts while gaining experience than lose large at the start which will destroy your confidence and your betting bank!
Spread your risk – trade only one match at a time, you can do several matches during the day, if they meet the criteria. It’s always best to choose different kick off times or even to have two or three options so if you are able to trade out early you have another match, perhaps for Option one earlier, and trade at half time. With lunchtime, afternoon and evening kick offs you have a number of chances to trade on.
Remember the golden rules; ‘never trade (gamble) with money you can’t afford to lose’ and ‘when the fun stops – STOP’! Even with a good strategy, there are no guarantees of success in any form of trading, whether that’s sports, day trading or forex trading.
There you have it, our top exit strategies when Laying The Draw.
If you want exclusive sports tips, systems and strategies that we only share with members then head over to mbt-sports.com
Now we want to turn it over to you. Which of the exit strategies will you use first? Are you going to use after the first goal or have you got nerves of steel and you’ll trade out only when the winning team scores a second goal? Either way let us know in the comments section.
And if you’re already a member of MBT Sports membership site then you’ll see several other sports strategies that use the two trap greyhound system as part of it’s core systems.
But today, we are here to share with you How To Always Win Football Bets.
As we said earlier, we won’t make that bold promise.
But, what we can do is give you some tips on how to improve your chances of winning your football bets.
Table of Contents
Get to know your Sport: Win Football Bets
This is true whether we are talking about football or any other sport. It is even more true when looking at sports that don’t lend themselves to a probability system or strategy.
Research, research, research. You can go into piles and piles of statistics and team form in detail if you want to, in fact, many professional sports traders do just that, and they usually specialise in one or two sports and keep very detailed records with analysis on teams and individuals so that they can come up with probable winning bets.
With the power of the internet, many of the stats are freely available if you know where to look. It will take you time to research the ins and outs of matches, the teams and their players. Using online resources, read and take note of the relevant stats and information.
Here’s a great reference site to use; it’s called http://www.whoscored.com. It is an absolute treasure trove of data with statistics on the best goalscorers, defenders, etc. Using the data available you can use this for the side markets in football. Here’s an example; you can research which teams score or concede the most goals before or after halftime; with that knowledge, you could place a bet on the Half-Time/Full-Time result.
Look for Value
I’ll cover how to calculate value, also known as probability, in another article but essentially once you’ve identified value, i.e. if you’ve calculated that the probability of the event you’re trading on exceeds that which is indicated by the probability, then you have a good value bet. Then it’s up to you to decide if it’s worth betting or not.
Side Markets are where it’s at…
Looking for the markets with the best value? Then always have a look at the match side markets, or sometimes called specials. Here you’ll find an array of markets, from over/under, half time / full time, correct score, to name just a few.
It may seem counterintuitive to go for specials, but these are often the markets that can improve the probability of a win. Here’s an example of specials where you can improve your likelihood of winning, that is to say giving yourself an edge.
Looking at the two markets; both teams to score and the over 1.5 goals market. In these markets quite often you’ll be able to make a better profit (or at least the same) betting on over 1.5 goals instead of both teams to score. That’s because over 1.5 goals mean you win if there’s 2 or more goals scored, by either team. But both teams to score market relies on both teams scoring. The odds will reflect this, but which of the two markets do you think to have a higher probability of happening?
Speculate to Accumulate, well kind of….
Accumulators or multi bets are a good way of increasing profit when you are trading on what both you and the online bookmakers believe to be a high probability of success. The downside is that often the odds are shorter and really short in some instances.
So how do you turn a profit with shorter odds? Accumulators of course.
Be warned though. As you know anything with humans (or animals for that matter) involved has an unpredictable edge to it. So having an 8-match accumulator with teams at 1.25 and below (some as low as 1.01) is destined for tragedy. We can almost guarantee that you would lose an 8-bet accumulator with 8 favourites on short odds.
No, if you are going to have multi-bets, keep it to trebles or 4-folds maximum, that’s our advice.
There you have it, a simple guide that will help you win more football match markets.
If you like this article make sure to subscribe to our MBT-SPORTS membership if you want exclusive sports tips, systems and strategies that we only share with members.
Now we want to turn it over to you. Which of these systems will you use first? Are you going to use the single low odds markets or an accumulator market? Either way, let us know in the comments.
Join Your No.1 source for sports trading and betting systems and techniques online today! CLAIM YOUR MEMBERSHIP NOW.
https://twotrapgreyhoundsystem.com/library/2021/10/HOW-TO-ALWAYS-WIN-FOOTBALL-BETS-e1680234643587.png281500Peterhttps://twotrapgreyhoundsystem.com/library/2023/03/MBTSPORTS_LOGO-300x112.pngPeter2024-07-06 08:11:372024-07-06 08:49:14How To Always Win Football Bets (Updated)
In this article, I’m going to be discussing with you a question that comes up regularly and that question is; is greyhound betting worth it?
Or put another way, is it worth spending time betting on greyhounds?
Just before we get into the video, time for a shameless plug. If you want to learn more tips and strategies for sports trading, then checkout our members area at mbt-sports.com
So let’s get started.
Greyhound Betting: The Two Trap Greyhound System
People who are experienced with sports trading struggle to see the value of greyhound betting. It’s usual for them to struggle to trade at the price they want, whether that’s to back or lay. Also, they find it more difficult to trade the racing and wonder why that is.
Those of you who are familiar with my book; The Two Trap Greyhound System, will know that in greyhound markets, especially if you’re looking to trade in the traditional sense, the betting market for greyhound races has very little liquidity. The opportunities to trade at prices that you want are restricted by the liquidity of the market and whether your lay price will be matched.
Because of these small markets, greyhound racing has different characteristics than the mainstream sports markets such as football or tennis, as these markets are more popular with the general public.
As well as the size of the market, there are other factors that can influence pricing, not just the form of the dogs. Betting markets are particularly volatile and quite often the markets don’t move until around 5 minutes or less before the off.
Often trackside rumours will impact the market more so than the form. Additionally as prize money is so low for winning a race, trainers and owners look for other ways to supplement their income from a race, maybe even betting on or even against their own dog.
So, is it still possible to make money on greyhound racing? Absolutely yes.
BUT – you have to appreciate that greyhound racing as sport does not compete in the same way that other sports do, the external revenue received from sponsorship or TV is not reflective as say football or snooker, for example.
That’s why tracks will offer trackside entertainment like refreshments and dining in order to make a day or night out at the race track that more appealing. Betting on a dog race is almost secondary to having a good day or night out.
Another factor that influences the liquidity in markets is the number of races. Almost every day there are over 70 races that people can bet on. This spreads an already small number of followers across more and more races. Contrast that with football and generally speaking only a Saturday would have 70 or more matches on.
The smaller markets will be influenced much more by even the smallest movement in betting on a dog, and as mentioned before, usually this sparks into life with under 5 minutes before the start of a race. Often within a minute of the off is when the market is at it’s most liquid, almost too late to get the price you want.
But don’t despair, you can still get the value on your greyhound trading. The challenge comes when trying to get your staking plan in place when the markets are not so liquid. You may find you have to place more stake if you can’t get the price you want.
This is particularly true when laying your greyhound racing, whereas if you are backing you have more control and options to place your stake.
Is trading the best way to see a profit with greyhound racing? In general I’d say no. But when you have the right systems, the right staking plan and you treat your greyhound betting in a professional way, as an additional income stream, then the answer is yes.
The Two Trap Greyhound System offers you the opportunity to see regular profits from backing greyhounds, and historically has thrown up long odd winners.
You can invest in the book but ideally, by subscribing as a member of MBT Sports, you’ll get access to the training, the MBT Sports calculator and also access to the research done for you greyhound racing alert service.
As well as the greyhound system, you’ll also gain access to other sports betting strategies including football, horse racing, tennis and golf.
https://twotrapgreyhoundsystem.com/library/2024/02/Greyhound-Betting-Is-It-Worth-It.png281500Peterhttps://twotrapgreyhoundsystem.com/library/2023/03/MBTSPORTS_LOGO-300x112.pngPeter2024-02-17 14:34:232024-04-24 07:58:51Greyhound Betting: Is It Worth It? Here’s the Number 1 Reason Why
The title of this article is quite a bold statement. How to guarantee your profits in a greyhound betting system. Notice it says ‘guarantee a profit’, not win every race.
Those of you reading this, expecting the silver bullet to win every greyhound race you wager on, should click away now. If there was a system that won every time, guaranteed, do you think it would be given away for free?
As you read this article and see which areas of this sport appeal to you most. And as you understand the benefit of using the different types of bet. You will be ready to use your new knowledge and have ideas for creating your own greyhound betting strategy.
Along with discipline and a reasonably sized betting bank. It is possible to make a steady profit over time.
Now, grab your favorite drink, sit back and read on.
If you’re already familiar with greyhound racing, please feel free to skip over the sections of this article that you already know. For those of you who are new and want to discover more about greyhound betting systems, keep reading.
First off, just looking at a race card and trying to figure out the winners of a greyhound race is not the way to profit. Just like any sports betting strategy the best greyhound betting systems will include different ways to bet on a race or series of races. Let’s start with setting yourself up for success.
Table of Contents
Getting Started – Preparation
How To Prepare Correctly
If you’re going to be successful in any venture then it’s really important to have a good foundation. It’s just as true for greyhound betting. There are four cornerstones to your success in developing your own betting strategy.
Whether you are going to the track or betting online, it helps to be prepared. The four pillars for your success are; understanding how dogs run in a race, what traps they are drawn in, the weather at the track, and being a track guru.
Understanding The Dogs
The phrase horses for courses, is just as true for greyhound racing. Understanding how dogs run in a race and at a certain track is important. If a dog is fast out of the box, it’s likely best suited to sprint races. Maybe it’s slow to start but likes to come from behind. In which case it will do best in a stayers race.
Doing the research on the dog’s pedigree, previous performances, and the trainer it is stabled with, can help in analysing the runners in a race. Helping you identify likely winners and potential losers in a race.
To be successful in understanding greyhound racing and finding the right dogs. You are going to need to learn how to read form.
LEARN HOW TO READ FORM
Typically form guide cards are the same whether you’re at the track or checking the race card online.
It does take time to understand the form card. But with practice you’ll start to understand the different signals presented on them to help your selections.
I’ll run through a UK race form card with you here;
To illustrate let’s use a Swindon form card for the greyhound running out of Trap 3.
After the Trap number is the dog’s name.
In previous years, there used to be a letter in brackets. THis would indicate what part of the track a dog preferred to run; [R]ails,[M]iddle or [W]ide. But not any more!
Not that big a problem as you can check from the form in the ‘Remarks’ column how the dog ran in previous races. Here’s a summary of what each column signals;
Date – The date of the race
Track – Racetrack name, usually dogs will run at their ‘home’ track unless they are in the national competitions like the ‘Derby’
Dis – Distance of the race ran
Trp – Trap the dog ran from
Split – The time, in seconds, the dog ran from leaving the traps to crossing the starting line
Bends – the dogs position in the race at each bend; 1 to 6 or 1-8 depending on number of dags in the race (country specific)
Fin – where the dog finished
By – distance dog won by or was beaten by the winning greyhound
Win/Sec – name of the dog that came second (if this dog won) or the dog that won the race
Remarks – abbreviated summary of the performance; e.g. Mid = Middle, Chl = Challenged, RnIn = Run in
WnTm – winning race time
Gng – Track going allowance
Wght – the greyhounds weight before the off
SP – forecasted starting price of the dog
Grade – Grade of the race ran
CalTm – Race time of the dog, includes adjustment for the going allowance
In the above example T3 seems to be a good prospect to win the race, it’s been placed or won in its last 4 races on this track and distance. And Brosna Pet has been joint favourite in its last 2 races when finishing 2nd both times. You would have to see how it compares against other dogs in the same race. Did it win?
Yes it did, it was also a very short odds on favourite.
MBT Sports Pro Tip: Look For Value in The Lower Grades
UK greyhound races are graded A1 to A11. With A1 being the highest grade. The younger greyhounds will usually run in the lower grade races. By looking at these lower grades you could spot a future profitable dog.
In the lower grade races odds are often better value because of the outcome being less certain. It’s always worth following the lower grade greyhound races, which is where the younger dogs will be running.
Greyhounds are bred for a certain type of race. But when they are just starting out the dogs will be trialed over different distances. You should follow certain race tracks and keep a watch on the new dogs’ progress. Doing this will help you spot value and should be an integral part of your overall strategy.
Know The Trap
When you’ve identified a good prospect in a race you’ll need to check what Trap it’s running out of. If you have a copy of my book The Two Trap Greyhound System, you’ll know that some traps are more successful than others. This is especially true when you can identify certain race tracks.
It’s worth knowing the Track stats by distance as well as how often your selection has won out of that trap and over that distance. This is especially useful if you are placing large wagers. Have a read of the FAQ section in my article that covers traps in more detail here.
Weather Conditions
The weather can play a big part in the outcome of a race. This is especially true when the track is not an all weather surface. Just as dogs perform differently depending on the Trap draw. They can either win or lose depending on the weather conditions. When you’re checking a dog’s past form, check what the weather was like on the day it either won or lost.
If your selection has never won on a rainy day, probably best to avoid that race if it’s raining.
Become A Track Guru
This factor is as equally important as any of the other three. Especially when developing your own greyhound betting strategy.
Understanding the dog, the traps and how the weather impacts them is crucial. Understanding how a Track performs is just as important. You need to become an expert at a few tracks and only focus on race meetings at those tracks.
Obviously the tracks you choose should have a proven history of past winners, with some clear signals. In many countries dogs usually race at only one, or two local tracks. Getting to know the dogs, the successful trainers, and the track will help to identify possible trends or signals.
It’s best to choose busy and popular race tracks as they will have a lot of dogs and a good back history of data on which to do your research. All of this research will take some time. But when you start to see the fruits of your research with more successful winning dogs I’m sure you realise the benefit.
Before I get into how to create your strategy, let’s take a look at some of the background into the sport of greyhound racing.
Greyhound Racing: background
Greyhound racing was at its peak over 70 years ago. Back in the 1950s there were more than 100 greyhound stadiums in the UK.
Fast forward to today and there are only 19 official race tracks left in the UK.
The sport has been saved ironically by the internet and the popularity of online gambling. Greyhound betting makes up 20% of bookmakers annual income.
About The Races
As mentioned earlier, every greyhound is registered to a ‘home’ track and the greyhound races between home dogs. In the UK races are graded from A1 (the highest) to A11. In Australia by letters A, B, C, D, J and M (for Maiden), and in the USA it’s A, B, C, D, E and M (for Maiden).
As a dog progresses up the order the races become more competitive with more ‘equally matched dogs; – well in theory anyway. Dogs will move up or down the graded races depending on form.
Each country’s greyhound association will stipulate race distances, some are the same. But it’s worth getting to know what these distances are and what distances are most used at the race tracks you’re following.
Greyhound Traps
I’ll cover the 3 major greyhound countries, UK, Australia and USA.
In the UK, six dogs per race is the maximum permitted number of runners. Each trap has its own colour scheme, which is reflected in the jacket each greyhound wears. This makes it easier for you to spot your dog by its jacket colour.
Trap 1 – Red jacket, white number 1
Trap 2 – Blue jacket, white number 2
Trap 3 – White jacket, black number 3
Trap 4 – Black jacket, white number 4
Trap 5 – Yellow jacket, black number 5
Trap 6 – Black and white striped jacket, red number 6
In the USA, eight dogs per race is the maximum permitted
Trap 1 – Red jacket, white number 1
Trap 2 – Blue jacket, white number 2
Trap 3 – White jacket, black number 3
Trap 4 – Green jacket, white number 4
Trap 5 – Black jacket, red number 5
Trap 6 – Yellow jacket, black number 6
Trap 7 – Green/White striped jacket, black number 7
Trap 8 – Black jacket, white number 8
In Australia, eight dogs per race is the maximum permitted
Trap 1 – Red jacket, white number 1
Trap 2 – Black and white striped jacket, red number 2
Trap 3 – White jacket, black number 3
Trap 4 – Blue jacket, white number 4
Trap 5 – Yellow jacket, black number 5
Trap 6 – Green jacket, red number 6
Trap 7 – Black jacket, yellow number 7
Trap 8 – Pink jacket, black number 8
A bit of a pity they couldn’t agree to keep 1 through 6 the same and change 7 and 8!
In greyhound betting, there are four main markets:
Straight bets
Forecast bets
Accumulators
Prop bets
In my experience, the best greyhound betting strategies use a mix of all types of bet. Let’s cover each one and see how they work.
Straight Bets
Straight bets are simple win or place bets. You wager on an outright winner or you’re betting each way.
Forecast Bets
Those of you familiar with horse racing will likely know these types of markets:
Forecast – pick the winner and second place dogs in the correct order.
Tricast – pick the first, second and third placed dogs in the correct order.
Reverse – Similar to Forecast and Tricast, but the dogs you select can place in any order for you to win.
Exacta and Trifecta – these are Tote-only versions of Forecast and Tricast bets which have a minimum stake and winnings defined by the number of winning tickets and the Tote pool dividend. You’ll usually have to be at the actual race track to place these wagers.
Accas
Unless you are completely new to sports betting or trading you will be familiar with accumulator bets. The odds can be very high with an acca bet, this reflects the level of chance versus probability of success. As every prediction on your ticket must be correct, or your bet loses.
MBT Sports Pro Tip: Acca Strategy
A good acca strategy is to pick performing teams/dogs/horses that are generally low odds favorites or joint favourites and place them in an Accumulator bet of 3 to 6 selections. Placing low-stakes accumulator bets should always be a part of your betting strategy.
Matched Betting
Matched betting comes in various forms. Back and Lay, hedging, arbitrage, or the most popularly known variation is matched betting.
All three will guarantee a lock in profit. All three require a lot of extra time and effort to trade in.
Back and Lay
Simply done by covering every bet you place with your bookie by ‘laying’ it through a betting exchange. When done well, back and lay can almost completely eliminate potential gambling losses. It does require a lot of time and effort.
Here’s a simple explanation of how backing and laying works.
About 5 minutes before the race, let’s say you picked a greyhound running in Trap 6. In this case, a “back” would be betting on Trap 6 to win. A “lay” bet would be betting on the opposite – i.e. Trap 6 not finishing in 1st place.
Obviously you can’t just back and lay straight off. You need to find a variation between the back and lay odds, also known as a spread. The spread is where you get the guaranteed profit. Back and lay is only effective in the run up to the start of a greyhound race, just before the off.
Greyhound races finish generally inside a minute, so there’s very little in-running time to lock in a trade. You do need to watch out for the odds and how they move through the build up of a race. If lots of others bet on Trap 6 the odds will shorten (go down). If not then the odds go long (move up). You need to be able to catch the odds that are profitable to you.
Here’s a recent example;
Hedging for Guaranteed Profit?
No doubt you’re familiar with the phrase ‘hedging your bets’.
Hedging protects you from losses and locking in a guaranteed profit. This is definitely more of a sports trading strategy since you’re locking in lower guaranteed profits as you are covering yourself against a loss. For example, rather than double your stake with a straight bet by using a hedging strategy you may guarantee say just an extra 50% return or half point guaranteed profit.
There are variations on hedging. Maybe betting on say the favourite to place but then the second favourite to show. In greyhound racing this is very doable. You do have to be right on top of your trading game for this to work. If the odds move too quickly against you, you won’t lock in that guaranteed profit.
Arbitrage
Arbitrage is similar to hedging your bets but it is done in a way that it guarantees you a profit regardless of outcome. This can be done through a betting exchange. This is because you can bet on how the odds are moving as well as how the odds are positioned. If you’re new to betting exchanges you should be very cautious when starting, best to paper trade or virtual trade until you’re comfortable with your new trading abilities.
Matched Betting – Free Bets
Matched betting is very popular, mainly because it makes use of bookmaker special offers so that you can create free bets, lay the pick on an exchange and profit regardless of the result. This subject would make a whole other article. For now, just know it’s a great way to support your sports betting strategies.
Build Your Own Greyhound Betting Strategy
YOUR STRATEGY
I hope this article has helped you get familiar with greyhound betting and that you’re ready to create your own strategy.
As I said earlier, your strategy should have a number of systems or markets within the core system. Will you look to back and lay, straight bets or arbitrage? Whatever you decide you will need a good understanding of how the races work, the form of the greyhounds, and other important factors which can affect the outcome of a race.
Taking a more professional and disciplined approach to your sports betting and trading will inevitably make you more successful and profitable. The more you learn about greyhound racing, the tracks, the form etc and identify a couple of tracks you have a better understanding of will help with your success.
Once you’ve found the area of greyhound racing that appeals most to you, you can build your greyhound betting strategy around those criteria and signals.
Finding the Value Bet
Over time as you become more experienced you’ll be able to calculate your own odds and compare those against the bookmaker odds. A value bet is where you have identified an opportunity where your analysis suggests that the online bookmakers have got their odds wrong.
Creating and keeping up to date records of your bets, signals that worked, those that didn’t, and making key notes of that, will help you understand more. It takes time to become efficient and consistent with your winning bets.
Always remember to only bet what you can afford to lose and never bet with emotion. Keep calm, be disciplined and professional and you will achieve success over time.
Recovery strategy
It has to be said that there are two main schools of thought around stake recovery plans. This is a very divisive subject, much like climate change or the world being flat!
After many years of trading in my experience I much prefer to have an opportunity to recover my lost stake on a future wager, rather than think I have lost my stake forever.
Don’t misunderstand me; there are some really bad recovery systems and if you follow them you are almost certain to lose your shirt. The martingale system being one of those.
The martingale system is simply where you double your stake in the event of a loss. This relies on you having a big enough betting bank or you are infinitely wealthy. If you have a poor strategy, or worse still, no betting strategy you are certain to lose everything and real fast. So DON’T do it.
Just to illustrate. If you had a 100 point betting bank and you placed 5 points to win, but lost the first event. And you used the martingale system to recover. You only need a losing streak of 4 bets to run out of stake money!
Another bad system is The Monte Carlo system. Basically this is where you bet against an event simply because you believe the winning run has to come to an end. This really is gambling and chance. It’s not based on any proven system.
A really good example is in football; The Premier League season of 2003/4, a lot of punters (amateur gamblers) lost a fortune betting against Arsenal. They won the Premier League without losing a single game. 26 wins and 12 draws.
Imagine the temptation to bet against Arsenal, especially during the silly season of Christmas. Had you tried, you would most certainly have been the worst for it.
So I don’t believe in not having a recovery strategy, nor do I believe in a ‘all in’ recovery approach either. I prefer to use a stake recovery system but with an unemotional stop loss which I set before I start trading for the day.
Stay Away From Fun Bets
Another word of warning. Avoid bookmakers’ special bets. You know the ones; the Premier League Special acca at 200/1 for example. When you look at the detail you can easily be seduced into thinking the outcomes are realistic.
But ask yourself ; in 5 matches do you really see both teams getting over 1 corner in each half and both teams to score in each half? If you’re tempted, just look at that offer again.
Over 1 corner each team in each half. That’s 2 corners each team each half. 10 teams. There is a tendency for teams to start slow in the first half. Statistics show there are more corners in the second half in the majority of matches.
Then add to this all 10 teams to score a goal in each half. If you really think this is worth a punt, check out the statistics for the number of matches that are 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 at half time. I’ll save you the search; it’s 75%.
Fortunately there are few fun bets for greyhound racing.
FAQ’s for Greyhound Racing Systems
What is the best way to bet on greyhounds
There are many different ways you can bet on greyhound races, and the best approach will depend on your goals and resources. I have covered this in detail in my article on ‘What’s the Best Greyhound Trap to Lay’. That article explains:
Research the dogs and their past performances.
Track conditions.
Spread your bets around.
Set a budget.
Learn different types of bets.
How do you win big on greyhounds
There are many ways you can win big on greyhounds. My article on 5 Betting Greyhound Systems That Win can be found by following this link.
How often do greyhound favorites win
As with any type of betting or gambling, luck will always play a role in determining the outcome of a race. However, there are some factors which may give you an edge to certain greyhounds over others when it comes to winning races.
Such things as the dog’s pedigree, being well trained and conditioned for the race ahead of time. Also having experienced handlers who know where to properly position the dog in the Trap in the order for maximum speed and efficiency.
And of course form. Statistically it’s been seen as an average across all tracks that favorites win around 30% of the time. Which means they lose 70% of the time! if you’re using a lay strategy that’s great news!
What is the most profitable greyhound betting system
I think I’ve answered this question in the main body of this article. Your own strategy which should include a variety of betting types as well as a disciplined staking plan will in time show you profit.
What is The Two Trap Greyhound System
Having gone over in detail all the information you need to build out your very own greyhound betting strategy. I am here to tell you there is a way to profit from greyhounds without having to study form, focus on one or two race tracks, follow trainers and analyse all the data.
You can learn about the system in my book; The Two Trap Greyhound System. Get your copy here.
CONCLUSION: IT’S TIME TO OPEN THE TRAP!
I hope this article has inspired you to look into creating your own Greyhound Racing strategy.
As you can see, there’s plenty of different ways you can go about developing your own system. The best greyhound betting strategy will use different bet types. So having decided on your bankroll for the day or event, you should set your staking plan and for your different types of greyhound wagers.
You might decide to have straight or place winners. Or mix it up with some accas and forecast bets. And if you’re going to use matched or arbitrage betting systems, then this is more sophisticated.
If you’ve enjoyed this article and you aren’t already subscribed. Join our newsletter here and get our free book; ‘Evergreen Sports Betting Strategies You Can Start Today’. And if you want exclusive sports tips, systems and strategies that we only share with members then head over to mbt-sports.com.
Good luck in your sports trading and remember: ‘Stop Gambling and Start Trading! Click here if you want to learn more about a greyhound betting system that truly works.
https://twotrapgreyhoundsystem.com/library/2023/03/How-to-Guarantee-Your-Profits-in-a-Greyhound-Betting-System.png281500Peterhttps://twotrapgreyhoundsystem.com/library/2023/03/MBTSPORTS_LOGO-300x112.pngPeter2023-03-11 08:00:002024-06-29 06:47:52How to Guarantee Your Profits in a Greyhound Betting System (Updated 2024)