In this article we are going to share with you several top tips, you can use today to become a tennis betting expert.
It doesn’t matter how knowledgeable you are, as with all sporting events, they are open to human error. As you know, if you have followed my articles and newsletter – sports betting can never be an exact science.
But, the laws of probability do help to identify when an outcome is more or less likely to occur.
In the MBT Sports membership area, we also have sports trading systems that work similar to Two Trap Greyhound System, and tennis is one of those sports.
Understanding how to identify probability by reverse engineering betting odds, is key to any successful sports trading or betting.
Knowing how to convert odds into their implied probability will help improve the chances of long term success when betting on tennis or any sport.
So how do you determine probability? The best way to demonstrate this is through an example.
A player has decimal odds at the bookmaker of 1.75, we need to determine what that converts to in terms of probability.
Probability is easy to calculate. Take the decimal odds and divide them into 1, and then express the answer as a percentage so in our example.
1 divided by 1.75 = 0.5714
0.5714 x 100 (to get a percentage) = 57.14%
This means the bookmakers believe that there’s a 57% likelihood that the wager will win.
Tennis is one of those sports that has more side markets than many other sports. It’s often better to find side markets to trade on than the straightforward match result.
If you plan to maximise profits and minimise risk, you need to have a tennis trading strategy based on a combination of scientific theory and discipline.
Here are some other tips that will help you become a tennis betting expert.
Only bet where there is value. Find matches where you can see value from your analysis. This can take many forms, but you’re looking for a market the bookmakers have proceed up wrong, in your opinion based on your analysis, and for which you think there’s a profit (value) to be had.
Look for out of form top seeded players; especially true at grand slam events, a player may be seeded higher in a tournament despite poor recent form, online bookmakers will often follow the players’ ranking, not the form.
Servers vs Returners, do some research on the two players, some players are more dominant when serving, others when receiving.
Check the players’ form on the match playing surface. Some players perform better on different types of surface. Be aware of a players’ preference.
There you have it, some simple tips that will help you win more tennis bet markets.
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Now we want to turn it over to you. Which of these tips will you find most useful? Are you going to look for probability percentage or a player’s preferred playing surface? Either way let us know in the comments.
Good luck in your sports trading and remember: ‘Stop Gambling and Start Trading! 😊
Until next time… Thanks!