More Strategies For Profiting On Under 2.5 Goals Strategy

Under 2.5 Goal Strategy Number 1 – Watch The Game for a free bet

Can you actually have a free bet? Yes, well kind of. Here’s an example.

Through using some of the site’s stats previously mentioned, we targeted a match between Montreal Impact vs Toronto as a likely low scoring match.  We backed Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.20. As the game progressed we placed staggered lay bets into the markets at different odds points, which as they were matched, reduced our exposure, or liability. As you can see, with three staggered lay bets equal to the back stake we secured a free bet on under 2.5 goals, and there was still 70 minutes of match time left.

We covered the bet stake of £40 and our liability was £35.72. We won £48 and paid out £35.72, so locking in the profit. Had the match ended with 3 or more goals we would have received the lay bet winnings of £40 – which is how we got the free bet.

Here’s a screenshot of the match stas using Sofascore.com

You can see it was a low action game and under 2.5 goals was supported by our pre-match analysis.

In fact, you can see that the first half had no shots on target at all.

Under 2.5 Goal Strategy Number 2 – Lower Leagues do have value

Having done some research, we’ve found potential value in the under 2.5 goals in leagues where you are likely to find varying levels of quality. For example, in English League 2 it’s possible you’ll see a match with loads of goals, and it’s also just as likely that both teams may not score on that day.

This is also true across some of the main leagues in smaller European leagues or other national leagues, especially where their top players ply their trade in the major professional leagues, like English Premiership, German Bundesliga and Spain’s La Liga.

With just a little more research it’s possible to identify great value at times. One way to research will seem counter intuitive. What do you do? Look for two teams who are playing each other whose recent matches have been over 2.5 goals. In leagues with less skilled players, and where there’s less money to have large squads, it’s not easy for teams to maintain consistency through the season. They have injuries, suspensions and less opportunity to use squad rotation.

So why not have a go, do some research and find some lower league matches where there may be value in under 2.5 goals.

Here’s some extra ways to improve the probability of success using this system;

Under 2,5 Goal Strategy Number 3 – Use tipsters or site predictions

This is kind of a strategy of strategies. There are many sites and email services you can sign up for that provide either tips for sports markets or predictions for outcomes. Using the tips and predictions in certain markets you can find matches that have a good likelihood of ending under 2.5 goals.

Method 1 – Predictions for Under 3.5 goal market

Here you’re looking for tipsters or predictions where under 3.5 goals is recommended or where the forecast odds are below 2.0.

Now use some of your research sites, like the ones we shared earlier, and check out the correct scores. Now you’re looking for matches where predominantly less than 3 goals are expected. Essentially, the majority of tipsters or predictions fall within the scores of 0-1, 1-0, 0-2, and 2-0.

When used properly it’s possible to get a success strike rate of 88%.

Method 2 – Trade or Scalp the first half of markets

Simply a variation on method 1, use the method 1 strategy and apply it to the first half market. You can find tipsters and half-time predictions online so this is easy to do.

Method 3 – Back / Trade The 0-0 Correct Score

Same approach as with method 2, but instead of under 2.5 markets, you back or lay the 0-0 halftime score line. If your research suggests a goal is going to be scored in the first 45 minutes then lay 0-0, if your analysis leans towards no goals, then back the halftime result correct score of 0-0.

Method 4 – Dutch The Correct Score Market At Half Time

What is dutching? We go into that in another article. So let’s assume you’ve done your research and it suggests that in this match you can expect the team leading at halftime to go on and win the match.

By understanding the probabilities of goals in the second half, we can dutch certain correct scores to generate a profit.

Historically data shows that in matches where the score line is 1-0 or 0-1 at halftime, 76% of those games will have a maximum of 2 more extra goals.

Using this knowledge and having done your research on the teams, you can simply dutch the current score and a few additional correct scores that are within 2 goals of the current score.

You have to back the correct scores first and either let them run or trade out sometime in the second half.

Here’s an example;

At half time it was 0-0 between Atalanta and Inter Miami. By backing the 5 score lines around the 0-0 scoreline, we were able to secure five scoreline’s and walked away with a 25 unit profit for the match.

 

Remember not every match will fall into this scenario, you must do your research first. By using the tips and predictions given online or by email, you can quickly narrow down your shortlist and do your own due diligence to find probable match conditions that meet the criteria.

That’s it for now. We hope that this article has shown you there are quite a few options when betting using the under 2.5 goals market.

As well as football systems, there are multiple ways you can take advantage of the content inside MBT Sports membership and create your own proven systems in various sports.

Now we want to turn it over to you.

Which of these under 2.5 goals strategies do you think you’ll look into first? Are you going to take a look at the lower leagues for inconsistent form or will you go for the in-play half time methods? Either way, let us know in the comments.

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And if you want exclusive sports tips, systems and strategies that we only share with members then head over to mbt-sports.com.

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You can also learn more about our Over 2.5 goals strategy here.